AI Geopolitical Risk Index Tracks Global, Oil and US-China Tensions
Matteo Iacoviello and Jonathan Tong’s AI-GPR offers daily measures of geopolitical risk, including Middle East oil and US-China relations.
Matteo Iacoviello and Jonathan Tong’s AI-GPR offers daily measures of geopolitical risk, including Middle East oil and US-China relations.
Canada’s latest employment and GDP observations align with Q2, while quarterly indicators and the C.D. Howe council’s statement add recession context.
Fertilizer and energy costs remain elevated, while Hormuz shipping delays threaten farm exports. More federal payments may cushion losses.
May payrolls rose by 72,000, but differences across employment data and falling real wage measures temper the headline strength.